Polls Tighten in Homestretch of Canada’s Election

Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal Party still appears poised to win, pollsters say, even as its lead over the Conservative Party has shrunk.

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Trump, Tariffs and Carney: Canada Polls Show Liberals With Early Election Lift

The Liberal Party, which not long ago seemed destined to crash in federal elections under Justin Trudeau, is experiencing a reversal of fortune. Here’s what a close review of polls shows.

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Here Comes Santa Claus’s Approval Rating

Despite some debates in the news, Americans’ views on Santa haven’t really changed, polls show. Most parents still say he’ll visit on Christmas Eve.

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Most Americans Say They Have Good Health Insurance, Polls Show

Many have encountered problems with their coverage, but the recent rage on social media is only part of the picture of Americans’ views on health care.

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Trump Claims a ‘Historic’ Mandate. Polls Show Americans Have Mixed Feelings.

The public may have more nuanced views on issues like tariffs and mass deportations than it might seem at first blush.

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What an Iowa Poll From The Des Moines Register Could Tell Us About the 2024 Race

Sometimes outliers are early indicators, capturing something other polls just haven’t measured yet. Other times, they’re a fluke.

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The Polls Are Close. The Results Might Not Be.

We are just a very normal polling error away from either candidate landing a decisive victory on Tuesday.

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Early Results Suggest the Polls Were Notably Accurate

Collectively they indicated that the presidential race would be close, and it appears they got it right without significantly underestimating Donald Trump’s support.

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‘There Were Signs’: How the Polls Anticipated Some of Trump’s Key Gains

The available data confirms that Donald Trump made inroads among Hispanic, Black and big-city voters. The results mean that, to a great extent, the pre-election polls had it right.

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Election Forecasts Try to Go Beyond the Polls. Are They Helping?

The forecasts, like those from Decision Desk HQ, Nate Silver and 538, are now ubiquitous, but their accuracy is hard to measure.

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